What is Logistic Regression in Machine Learning?
Updated on Feb 21, 2025 | 22 min read | 9.6k views
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Updated on Feb 21, 2025 | 22 min read | 9.6k views
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Logistic regression is a key machine learning technique used to predict binary outcomes, such as whether a customer will make a purchase or an email is spam.
As businesses increasingly rely on data to make decisions, understanding tools like logistic regression is crucial for staying competitive. From fraud detection to risk assessment, logistic regression plays a central role in solving real-world problems.
Let’s take a closer look at how it works.
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It is a statistical model that is utilized for binary outcomes where the dependent variable has two possible values (e.g., yes/no, true/false, 1/0). It predicts the probability of an event happening based on one or more independent variables.
Some examples of logistic regression in machine learning include:
Examples of Use Cases:
To better understand when to use logistic regression, it's important to first distinguish it from linear regression, a common alternative for modeling.
Here is a quick table that focuses on the major differences between regressions:
Features |
Linear Regression |
Logistic Regression |
Dependent Variable | Continuous (e.g., sales, price) | Categorical (binary outcome, 0 or 1) |
Equation | ||
Coefficient Interpretation | Direct relationship with output (e.g., a 1 unit change in X increases Y by B1 ) | The odds ratio of the outcome, interpreted in terms of probability |
Error Minimization Technique | Minimizes the sum of squared errors (SSE) | Minimizes log loss or cross-entropy |
Output | Predicted values (continuous) | Probabilities (between 0 and 1) |
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Also Read: Linear Regression vs Logistic Regression: A Detailed Comparison
Let’s now have a look at the major hypotheses related to logistic reasoning.
Logistic regression relies on certain assumptions to deliver accurate predictions and reliable results. Knowing these assumptions is key to using the technique effectively in your data analysis.
Let’s have a look at the hypotheses in detail:
Hypothesis Function: Logistic regression in machine learning uses the logistic (sigmoid) function to map outputs to probabilities. This function transforms any input value into a range between 0 and 1.
The sigmoid function is represented as:
are the model coefficients,
A probability close to 0 means the event is unlikely, while a probability close to 1 indicates a high likelihood of the event occurring.
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Now that you understand what logistic regression is let’s break down how it works for you.
Logistic regression allows you to predict probabilities by examining the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. Let’s simplify how it works for better understanding.
The sigmoid function is the heart of logistic regression. It maps any real-valued number into a probability between 0 and 1, which is ideal for binary classification.
The formula is:
Where:
are the model coefficients,
are the independent variables.
How It Works:
In logistic regression, outputs are classified based on a probability threshold, commonly set at 0.5.
How It Works:
Example:
The cost function (also called loss function) in logistic regression measures how well the model is performing. It helps to find the optimal model parameters.
Explanation:
The formula is:
Where:
How It Works:
Gradient descent is an algorithm for optimization that can be utilized to reduce the cost fuction and find the best-fit model parameters.
How It Works:
Where:
How It Works:
Also Read: Gradient Descent Algorithm: Methodology, Variants & Best Practices
Now that the basics of logistic regression have been covered let’s explore its different types and their key differences.
Logistic regression can be adapted to different types of classification problems, each with its own unique approach. In this section, let’s explore the key differences between binomial, multinomial, and ordinal logistic regression.
Binomial logistic regression is used for classification tasks where the dependent variable has two categories or classes (e.g., yes/no, success/failure).
Key Characteristics:
It is a regression that is used when the dependent variable has three or more unordered categories.
Key Characteristics:
It is a regression that is used when the dependent variable has ordered categories, meaning the categories have a meaningful sequence or ranking.
Key Characteristics:
These types of logistic regression allow for different classifications based on the nature and number of target categories. Each type employs variations in the modeling approach to handle the number and order of outcome categories appropriately.
With an understanding of the types of logistic regression, let’s move on to the key steps for building a model.
Building a logistic regression model involves a structured process to ensure accurate predictions and meaningful insights. Let’s go through the simple steps to create your own model effectively.
Code Example
Here’s a simple Python code snippet to build and train a logistic regression model using Scikit-learn.
# Step 1: Import necessary libraries
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, confusion_matrix, classification_report
# Step 2: Load and preprocess the dataset
# Example: Load a sample dataset (e.g., Iris dataset for binary classification)
df = pd.read_csv("path_to_your_dataset.csv")
# Example: Split data into features (X) and target (y)
X = df.drop('target_column', axis=1) # Replace 'target_column' with your actual target column name
y = df['target_column']
# Split the data into training and testing sets
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.3, random_state=42)
# Standardize the features (if necessary)
scaler = StandardScaler()
X_train = scaler.fit_transform(X_train)
X_test = scaler.transform(X_test)
# Step 3: Train the logistic regression model
log_reg_model = LogisticRegression()
log_reg_model.fit(X_train, y_train)
# Step 4: Evaluate the model's performance
y_pred = log_reg_model.predict(X_test)
# Evaluate accuracy
accuracy = accuracy_score(y_test, y_pred)
print(f"Accuracy: {accuracy * 100:.2f}%")
# Additional metrics: confusion matrix, precision, recall, F1-score
print("Confusion Matrix:")
print(confusion_matrix(y_test, y_pred))
print("Classification Report:")
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred))
Logistic Regression Model Output
Accuracy: 53.33%
Confusion Matrix:
[[10, 9],
[ 5, 6]]
Classification Report:
precision recall f1-score support
0 0.67 0.53 0.59 19
1 0.40 0.55 0.46 11
accuracy 0.53 30
macro avg 0.53 0.54 0.52 30
weighted avg 0.57 0.53 0.54 30
This output demonstrates the basic performance metrics of the logistic regression model, including its accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score for each class.
Explanation of the Code
This simple approach provides the key steps involved in building a logistic regression model, from data loading and preprocessing to model training and evaluation.
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After understanding how to build a logistic regression model, let’s explore when it’s the right choice for your analysis.
Logistic regression is ideal when you need to predict categorical outcomes, such as yes/no or true/false scenarios. Here’s a closer look at the situations where this method excels.
Use Cases Where Linear Regression Fails for Categorical Data
Linear regression struggles with categorical data, making logistic regression a better fit for accurate predictions in such cases.
Scenarios for Binary, Multinomial, and Ordinal Classifications
Different types of logistic regression cater to specific classification needs, from binary decisions to ranked or multiple-category outcomes. Let’s explore scenarios where each type is best applied.
Situations Where Logistic Regression is a Better Choice Than Linear Regression
Logistic regression outperforms linear regression when dealing with categorical outcomes or probabilities. Here are the situations where it proves to be the better choice.
Also Read: 8 Compulsory Skills You Need to Become a Data Scientist
To better understand its applications, let’s explore some practical use cases where logistic regression proves invaluable.
Logistic regression is widely used in various industries for predicting binary, multinomial, and ordinal outcomes. Here are some real-world examples showcasing its practical applications across different sectors.
Problem: Classifying whether a financial transaction is fraudulent (1) or not (0).
How it helps: Logistic regression models the probability of fraud based on features such as transaction amount, location, time of the transaction, and frequency of similar transactions. It enables businesses to flag suspicious activity quickly, minimizing financial losses.
Problem: Classifying whether an email is spam (1) or not (0).
How it helps: Logistic regression analyzes attributes like email content, sender information, and patterns in past spam messages to predict whether an incoming email is spam. It’s a widely used approach in email filtering systems to enhance user inbox experience.
Problem: Predicting whether a patient has a specific disease (1) or is disease-free (0).
How it helps: Logistic regression utilizes patient data to predict the likelihood of a disease. It is particularly useful in healthcare for identifying high-risk patients and aiding in early diagnosis.
Problem: Predicting whether a user will click on an ad or make a purchase.
How it helps: Logistic regression is extensively used in digital marketing to model user actions based on factors such as browsing history, demographics, and past behavior. By predicting outcomes like clicks or purchases, marketers can optimize campaigns and improve ROI.
Problem: Determining whether a loan application will be approved (1) or rejected (0).
How it helps: Logistic regression evaluates factors such as credit score, income, debt-to-income ratio, and employment history to predict the likelihood of loan repayment. This helps financial institutions make data-driven decisions on loan approvals.
Problem: Identifying whether an employee is likely to leave the company (1) or stay (0).
How it helps: Logistic regression analyzes variables like job satisfaction, salary, performance metrics, and tenure to predict employee attrition. HR teams can use these insights to improve retention strategies.
Problem: Predicting whether a customer will stop using a service (churn) or remain a loyal user.
How it helps: Logistic regression evaluates customer behavior, usage patterns, and interaction history to predict churn probabilities. Businesses can develop their retention strategies with the help of this data.
Each of these examples demonstrates how logistic regression excels in scenarios requiring binary or categorical predictions, making it a versatile tool across industries.
Also Read: Top 5 Big Data Use Cases in Healthcare
Once you know when to use logistic regression, it’s essential to learn how to evaluate its performance effectively.
Evaluating logistic regression models ensures they provide accurate and reliable predictions. Key metrics and techniques help assess their performance and identify areas for improvement.
Let’s have a look at them:
The confusion matrix is a tool used to evaluate the performance of classification models. It is a highly important tool, particularly for binary classification. It breaks down the predictions into four categories:
Example: Two-Class Problem
Suppose you're predicting whether a transaction is fraudulent (1) or not fraudulent (0), and the confusion matrix is as follows:
Positive/Negative |
Predicted Positive (1) |
Predicted Negative (0) |
Actual Positive (1) | 50 (TP) | 10 (FN) |
Actual Negative (0) | 5 (FP) | 100 (TN) |
In this example:
To evaluate the performance of your logistic regression model, you can use several key metrics:
1. Accuracy:
Calculates the proportion of correct predictions. This includes both negative as well as positive.
Example:
For the confusion matrix above:
Accuracy is 90.9%.
2. Precision:
Measures the proportion of correctly predicted positive instances out of all predicted positives. It's particularly useful in imbalanced datasets where false positives need to be minimized.
Example:
Precision is 90.9%.
3. Recall (Sensitivity or True Positive Rate):
Measures the proportion of actual positive instances that are correctly identified. It's important in cases where false negatives are costly (e.g., fraud detection).
Example:
4. F1-Score:
The F1-score is the harmonic mean of precision and recall, offering a balance between the two. It's useful when there is a need to balance the trade-off between precision and recall.
Formula:
Example:
5. ROC Curve (Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve):
An ROC curve visually represents a model's performance across different classification thresholds. It shows the relationship between the True Positive Rate (Recall) and the False Positive Rate (FPR).
False Positive Rate (FPR):
6. How to Interpret the ROC Curve:
7. AUC (Area Under Curve):
Here’s a simple example of how the ROC curve might look:
These metrics and visualizations provide valuable insights into the performance of your logistic regression model. Now, let’s explore its strengths and potential limitations in more detail.
Logistic regression offers simplicity and efficiency for binary and categorical predictions but comes with certain constraints. Let’s explore its key advantages and limitations to understand its scope better.
Advantages
Also Read: Boosting in Machine Learning: What is, Functions, Types & Features
Limitations
Now that you know the strengths and limitations, here are the top tips to use logistic regression effectively in your projects.
To get the most out of logistic regression, follow these top three tips for optimizing its performance and ensuring accurate results.
Also Read: Types of Machine Learning Algorithms with Use Cases Examples
With these tips in mind, let’s explore real-world examples to see how logistic regression is applied successfully in various fields.
Logistic regression is widely used across industries to solve practical problems and make data-driven decisions. From predicting customer behavior to diagnosing diseases, let’s explore how it’s applied in real-world scenarios.
1. Healthcare: Disease Prediction and Diagnosis
2. Finance: Fraud Detection, Credit Scoring
3. Marketing: Customer Segmentation, Churn Prediction
4. Technology: Spam Filtering, Recommendation Systems
Also Read: 5 Breakthrough Applications of Machine Learning
After seeing logistic regression in action, let’s dive into some advanced topics to expand your understanding and expertise.
Logistic regression extends beyond the basics with advanced concepts that enhance its functionality and accuracy. Explore topics like regularization, interaction terms, and multiclass classification to deepen your knowledge and application skills.
Optimization Techniques
Optimization techniques play a critical role in model performance. Let’s compare these methods to understand their application in logistic regression.
1. Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) vs. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS):
2. Newton’s Method for Parameter Optimization:
Also Read: What is the EM Algorithm in Machine Learning? [Explained with Examples]
Regularization
Let’s have a look at regularization in detail:
By understanding these advanced topics, you can further improve your logistic regression model’s accuracy, efficiency, and generalizability to unseen data.
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Key programs include:
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References:
https://machinelearningmastery.com/machine-learning-salaries-job-market-analysis-2024-beyond
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigmoid_function
https://towardsdatascience.com/logistic-regression-and-decision-boundary-eab6e00c1e8
https://www.evidentlyai.com/classification-metrics/explain-roc-curve
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