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Top Heart Disease Prediction Project in 2024
Updated on 22 November, 2022
14.84K+ views
• 9 min read
Welcome to this step-by-step tutorial of our heart disease prediction project. Here, you’ll create a machine learning model that predicts whether a patient can be diagnosed with heart disease or not.
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You should be familiar with the basics of machine learning and data analysis to work on this project. This project requires you to be familiar with multiple ML algorithms, including Random Forest, K-NN (K-nearest neighbour), and many others.
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We’ll perform data wrangling, filtering, and test six different ML algorithms to find which one offers the optimal results for our dataset. Let’s begin:
The Objective of the Heart Disease Prediction Project
The goal of our heart disease prediction project is to determine if a patient should be diagnosed with heart disease or not, which is a binary outcome, so:
Positive result = 1, the patient will be diagnosed with heart disease.
Negative result = 0, the patient will not be diagnosed with heart disease.
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We have to find which classification model has the greatest accuracy and identify correlations in our data. Finally, we also have to determine which features are the most influential in our heart disease diagnosis.
Features
We use the following 13 features (X) to determine our predictor (Y):
- Age.
- Sex: 1 = Male, 0 = Female.
- (cp) chest pain type (4 values – Ordinal), 1st value: typical angina, 2nd value: atypical angina, 3rd value: non-anginal pain, 4th value: asymptomatic.
- (trestbps) resting blood pressure.
- (chol) serum cholesterol.
- (Fbs) – fasting blood sugar > 120 mg/dl.
- (restecg) – resting electrocardiography results.
- (thalach) – maximum heart rate achieved.
- (exang) – exercise-induced angina.
- (oldpeak) – ST depression caused by exercise relative to rest.
- (slope) – the slope of the peak exercise ST segment.
- (ca) – the number of major vessels colored by fluoroscopy.
- (thal) – maximum heart rate achieved (Ordinal), 3 = normal, 6 = fixed defect, 7 = reversible defect.
Step #1: Data Wrangling
We’ll first look at the dataset we are working with by converting it into a simpler and more understandable format. It would help us use the data more appropriately.
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib as plt
import seaborn as sns
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
filePath = ‘/Users/upgrad/Downloads/datasets-33180-43520-heart.csv’
data = pd.read_csv(filePath)
data.head(5)
age |
sex | cp | trestbps | chol | fbs | restecg | thalach | exang | oldpeak | slope | ca | thal | target |
0 | 63 | 1 | 3 | 145 | 233 | 1 | 0 | 150 | 0 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
1 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 130 | 250 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 0 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
2 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 130 | 204 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 0 | 1.4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
3 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 120 | 236 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 0 | 0.8 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
4 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 354 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 1 | 0.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Just as the code above helped us display our data in tabular form, we will use the following code for further data wrangling:
print(“(Rows, columns): ” + str(data.shape))
data.columns
The above code will show the total number of rows and columns and the column names in our dataset. The total number of rows and columns in our data is 303 and 14 respectively. Now we will find the number of unique values for every variable by using the following function:
data.nunique(axis=0)
Similarly, the following function summarizes the mean, count, standard deviation, minimum and maximum for the numeric variables:
data.describe()
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Step #2: Conducting EDA
Now that we have completed data wrangling, we can perform exploratory data analysis. Here are the primary tasks we will perform in this stage of our heart disease prediction project:
Finding Correlations
We’ll create a correlation matrix that helps us see the correlations between different variables:
corr = data.corr()
plt.subplots(figsize=(15,10))
sns.heatmap(corr, xticklabels=corr.columns, yticklabels=corr.columns, annot=True, cmap=sns.diverging_palette(220, 20, as_cmap=True))
sns.heatmap(corr, xticklabels=corr.columns,
yticklabels=corr.columns,
annot=True,
cmap=sns.diverging_palette(220, 20, as_cmap=True))
To find immediate correlations between features, we can also create pairplots. We’ll use small pairplots with only the continuous variables to look deeper into the relationships:
subData = data[[‘age’,’trestbps’,’chol’,’thalach’,’oldpeak’]]
sns.pairplot(subData)
Using Violin and Box Plots
With Violin and Box plots we can see the basic statistics and distribution of our data. You can use it to compare the distribution of a specific variable across different categories. It will help us identify outliers in the data as well. Use the following code:
plt.figure(figsize=(12,8))
sns.violinplot(x= ‘target’, y= ‘oldpeak’,hue=”sex”, inner=’quartile’,data= data )
plt.title(“Thalach Level vs. Heart Disease”,fontsize=20)
plt.xlabel(“Heart Disease Target”, fontsize=16)
plt.ylabel(“Thalach Level”, fontsize=16)
In the first Violin and Box plot, we find that the positive patients have a lower median for ST depression than the negative patients. So, we’ll use a plot to compare ST depression level and heart disease.
plt.figure(figsize=(12,8))
sns.boxplot(x= ‘target’, y= ‘thalach’,hue=”sex”, data=data )
plt.title(“ST depression Level vs. Heart Disease”, fontsize=20)
plt.xlabel(“Heart Disease Target”,fontsize=16)
plt.ylabel(“ST depression induced by exercise relative to rest”, fontsize=16)
Here, the positive patients had a higher median for ST depression level in comparison to negative patients.
Filtering Data
Now we’ll filter the data according to positive and negative heart disease patients. We’ll start with filtering data by Positive heart disease patients:
pos_data = data[data[‘target’]==1]
pos_data.describe()
Similarly, we’ll filter the data according to negative heart disease patients:
pos_data = data[data[‘target’]==0]
pos_data.describe()
Step #3: Using Machine Learning Algorithms
Preparation
Here, we’ll prepare the data for training by assigning the features to X and the last column to the predictor Y:
X = data.iloc[:, :-1].values
Y = data.iloc[:, -1}.values
Then, we’ll split the data into two sets, training set and test set:
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
x_train, x_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X,y,test_size = 0.2, random_state = 1)
Finally, we’ll normalize the data so its distribution will have a mean of 0:
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
sc = StandardScaler()
x_train = sc.fit_transform(x_train)
x_test = sc.transform(x_test)
Training the Model
In this section, we’ll use multiple machine learning algorithms and find the one that offers the highest accuracy:
1st Model: Logistic Regression
from sklearn.metrics import classification_report
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
model1 = LogisticRegression(random_state=1) # get instance of model
model1.fit(x_train, y_train) # Train/Fit model
y_pred1 = model1.predict(x_test) # get y predictions
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred1)) # output accuracy
The accuracy of this model was 74%.
2nd Model: K-NN (K-Nearest Neighbours)
from sklearn.metrics import classification_report
from sklearn.neighbours import KNeighboursClassifier
model2 = KNeighboursClassifier() # get instance of model
model2.fit(x_train, y_train) # Train/Fit model
y_pred2 = model2.predict(x_test) # get y predictions
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred2)) # output accuracy
The accuracy of this model was 75%.
3rd Model: Support Vector Machine (SVM)
from sklearn.metrics import classification_report
from sklearn.svm import SVC
model3 = SVC(random_state=1) # get instance of model
model3.fit(x_train, y_train) # Train/Fit model
y_pred3 = model3.predict(x_test) # get y predictions
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred3)) # output accuracy
The accuracy of this model was 75%.
4th Model: Naive Bayes Classifier
from sklearn.metrics import classification_report
from sklearn.naive_bayes import GaussianNB
model4 = GaussianNB() # get instance of model
model4.fit(x_train, y_train) # Train/Fit model
y_pred4 = model4.predict(x_test) # get y predictions
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred4)) # output accuracy
The accuracy of this model was 77%.
5th Model: Random Forest
from sklearn.metrics import classification_report
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
model6 = RandomForestClassifier(random_state=1)# get instance of model
model6.fit(x_train, y_train) # Train/Fit model
y_pred6 = model6.predict(x_test) # get y predictions
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred6)) # output accuracy
This model had the highest accuracy of 80%.
6th Model: XGBoost
from xgboost import XGBClassifier
model7 = XGBClassifier(random_state=1)
model7.fit(x_train, y_train)
y_pred7 = model7.predict(x_test)
print(classification_report(y_test, y_pred7))
The accuracy of this model was 69%.
After testing different ML algorithms, we found that the best one was Random Forest as it gave us the optimal accuracy of 80%.
Keep in mind that any accuracy percentage higher than 80% is too good to be true, and it might be because of overfitting. That’s why 80% is the optimal number to reach.
Step #4: Finding Feature Score
Here, we’ll find the Feature Score, which helps us make important decisions by telling us which feature was the most useful for our model:
# get importance
importance = model6.feature_importances_
# summarize feature importance
for i,v in enumerate(importance):
print(‘Feature: %0d, Score: %.5f’ % (i,v))
We found that the top four features were chest pain type (cp), maximum heart rate achieved (thalach), number of major vessels (ca) and ST depression caused by exercise relative to rest (oldpeak).
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Conclusion
Congratulations, you have now successfully completed the heart disease prediction project. We had 13 features, out of which we found that the most important ones were chest pain type and maximum heart rate achieved.
We tested out six different ML algorithms and found that the most accurate algorithm was Random Forest. You should test this model with the test set and see how well this model works.
On the other hand, if you want to learn more about machine learning and AI, we recommend checking out our AI courses. You will study directly from industry experts and work on industry projects that let you test your knowledge. Do check them out if you’re interested in a career in machine learning and AI.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
1. How is machine learning helping the healthcare sector?
There are many interesting uses of machine learning in the healthcare sector today. Out of all, one of its primary uses is for the detection and diagnosis of diseases. Starting from detecting rare genetic ailments to early stages of cancer, machine learning has proved to be of great help in this regard. There are many other uses, like discovering drugs, imaging diagnosis, maintaining smart health records, preventative medicine like behavioral modification, predicting disease outbreaks and recurrences, improving radiotherapy, efficient clinical research and patient trials, and more.
2. How can I become a healthcare data scientist?
Given that the healthcare industry is one of the most massive sources of data in the world, the demand for healthcare data scientists is expected to increase. The amalgamation of healthcare and data science is a promising and fruitful path, and aspiring health data scientists can take advantage of this situation. Healthcare data science is a relatively new field; it is a mix of statistics, mathematics, bioinformatics, computer science, and epidemiology. The foundation and skill set for becoming a data scientist are the same, but your focus will be solely on healthcare data and applications. Knowledge of computer programming using Python, R, and SAS will be helpful. Top global universities offer specialized postgraduate programs in healthcare data science.
3. Do doctors need to know data science?
With AI and data science rapidly gaining mainstream entry, these are more than just buzzwords in the healthcare sector. The immense significance of these technologies in extracting clinically useful information from massive chunks of datasets is encouraging doctors and physicians to take a renewed interest in these fields. Knowing data science offers an added advantage to doctors since they can quickly and accurately diagnose rare diseases using multi-parameter information and huge datasets obtained from continuous monitoring. AI aids diagnosis through effective data visualization techniques and helps them appreciate the statistical importance of clinical studies.
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